This post appeared in a previous blog and is here for posterity’s sake.
Map of SoHo, by CitiDex
Yesterday I wrote about the exploding rents of SoHo Mall, and there were some interesting comments, specifically:
To see a jump from 70 bones a sq ft to 200 within 6-12 months has to have something more than location involved. I wonder if there was competition for the new space and it became a bidding war?? Sounds like a research project!!
So this got me thinking: what is the theoretical maximum leasable square footage in what is now, the SoHo Mall?
First, some ground rules:
- SoHo is generally considered to be bounded by Houston on the north, Lafayette on the east, Canal Street on the south and the Hudson River to the west.
- I am defining the SoHo Mall as the area bounded by Houston on the north, Crosby St on the east, Broome on the south and Sullivan on the west.
- Why? Because those are the areas I feel are more “mall-like.” And, because I’m lazy those blocks are all the same size.
- I might be less lazy in the future and change the size of the SoHo Mall, but this is good for now.
- I will only be calculating the first floor as the most desirable, knowing that often times the cellar and the second floors of existing buildings are often used in commercial retail.
- I will finally use an efficiency factor of .85 to take into account walls, stairs, elevators, etc which always eat into ground floor retail space.
OK, for those following at home, the SoHo mall (for this exercise) looks like this:
SoHo Mall
Inside the SoHo Mall boundaries, there are 21 blocks of roughly the same size: 200′-0″ x 375′-“0 which gives us an average block area of 75,000 SF, which gives us an estimated area of:
1,575,000 SF
Multiply that by the .85 efficiency factor and we get:
1,338,750 SF
Now to the fun part: let’s see what the owners of the SoHo Mall take in yearly from commercial retail rent. Which, when using the average cost-per-square-foot provided yesterday of $66/SF and the “premium” number quoted as $200/SF, we get this:
- $88,357,500 (@ $66/SF)
- $267,750,000 (@ $200/SF)
Nice! Of course, not everyone is paying the premium, and many commercial tenants are paying “sub premium” rent because they were smart and locked their rent down with a 5-10 year lease (but watch the yearly escalation costs!).
This was a fun exercise, if you have any comments leave it below. Nonetheless: Congratulations owners of the SoHo Mall! I’m sure you are hoping you have some lease renewals coming up so, don’t you?